I think it will hit $15 million by the end of the weekend, but I don't know if it can hit the $100 million budget.
But then there is also this . . .
"Wildwood box office reports say Travis Knight’s stop-motion film may carry a budget of at least $400 million and possibly as much as $700 million, far above the earlier $100 million figure. If that range is right, the film sits in a financial tier that would dwarf most animated projects and put Laika on the hook for an unusually large amount of cost.
The $700 million figure would make Wildwood the most expensive animated movie ever made, while the older $100 million estimate came from a throwaway line in a Variety box-office piece. TheInSneider said that figure was flat-out wrong, and one source put the potential overrun at four times the original estimate."
I don't think it's possible to break even if it is indeed a $700 million dollar film to make. Phil Knight has a ton of money and seems to be willing to take this big finical loses to carry out his passion and the passion of his studio works. There's something to be said about that. He is a billionaire and tied to Nike after all.
When considering box office totals, keep in mind Wildwood is an independent release. It is pushed to the back of the theatrical line with the major studios pushing their movies on multiple screens. Fathom distributes in the US and they are not not a major studio. This film very much relies on word of mouth and people searching out the movie to watch.
Laika’s stop motion animated pic Wildwood minted $11.3M stateside with another $3M in its foreign launch from 11 territories via FilmNation for a $14.3M WW start.
UK looks to be landing an opening around $1.4M after a Friday-Saturday take of $931K that’s 15% ahead of Kubo and the Two Strings, and 22% ahead of The Boy and the Heron.
Kismet has Australia which is shaping up for a $567K opening, ahead of Laika’s Missing Link, Kubo and the Two String and The Boxtrolls.
NZ is filing $58K.
Notorious in Italy is looking at a $393K opening, with a Saturday $142,5K take ahead of Missing Link, Kubo and Boxtrolls. Wildwood via Beta Film in Spain is seeing a $292K opening from 232 cinemas, with an 8.4 rating on FilmAffinity, making it the highest rated release YTD on the platform.
Netherlands via The Searchers is looking at $168K with a Saturday gross ahead of ParaNorman, Kubo, Missing Link and Coraline.
Croatia is $25K, Serbia $6K, South Africa $33K, Singapore, $29K and Italian speaking Switzerland is $2K.
Wildwood‘s foreign rollout continues next weekend across Latin America, the Middle East, the Nordics and additional Eastern European markets. Mexico alone was Laika’s second-largest grossing market for the 2024 re-release of Coraline.